Theory of probability can be applied to

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JKSSB JE (Civil) Official Paper (Held On: 19 Nov, 2023)
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  1. Cumulative errors only
  2. Accidental errors only
  3. Both accidental and cumulative errors
  4. None of the above is correct

Answer (Detailed Solution Below)

Option 2 : Accidental errors only
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Explanation:

  • Probability theory applies to accidental (random) errors because they are unpredictable and follow statistical distribution.
  • The theory helps in quantifying the likelihood of different error magnitudes, allowing engineers and scientists to estimate precision and reliability of measurements.
  • hese errors occur due to unknown and unpredictable factors such as fluctuations in measuring conditions, limitations of instruments, and variations in human observation.

  • The magnitude and sign of accidental errors vary randomly from one measurement to another — some errors may be positive, others negative.

  • They follow a certain statistical distribution, commonly a normal distribution, which makes probability theory applicable for analyzing their pattern.

  • With multiple measurements, the impact of accidental errors can be minimized through averaging and statistical treatment, improving the accuracy of results.

 Additional Information

Cumulative (Systematic) Errors:

  • Cumulative errors are consistent errors that occur in a fixed pattern, often increasing or decreasing steadily with time or distance.

  • They arise from defects in equipment, errors in calibration, observer bias, or faulty methods of observation or measurement.

  • Unlike accidental errors, cumulative errors do not vary randomly and hence cannot be analyzed or corrected using probability theory.

  • These errors must be identified and corrected through proper calibration, adjustment of equipment, or refining observation techniques.

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